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Charles Leclerc’s Ferrari extension is thought to be imminent – but Carlos Sainz’s may have hit a roadblock. Edd Straw explains the consequences for Sainz and the rest of F1’s driver market
The next big decision in the 2025 Formula 1 driver market revolves around Carlos Sainz’s future at Ferrari. Sainz wants a longer-term deal, but Ferrari is reportedly hesitant to offer more than a one-year contract. This impasse will have significant ripple effects in the driver market as big teams and star drivers dictate the decisions. Sainz is now the most powerful piece on the market, and if he reaches an agreement with Ferrari, it will take both him and the team off the table. However, if they don’t reach an agreement, a highly desirable seat at Ferrari and a two-time grand prix winner will become available. The spotlight would then shift to the second Red Bull seat and possibly the Aston Martin team. Red Bull could become disruptive if Sergio Perez’s performance doesn’t improve and Daniel Ricciardo doesn’t impress enough. They could potentially pursue drivers like Lando Norris or even Sainz himself. Aston Martin is a more conventional option, but it’s uncertain if there will be vacancies. Fernando Alonso is likely to stay, but Lance Stroll’s fate is unclear.