Drive to Glory: Norris’ Road to Redemption in the 2025 F1 Championship

Drive to Glory: Norris' Road to Redemption in the 2025 F1 Championship

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Here’s how Lando Norris can pull off a rare, long-shot turnaround – and why you can argue there’s only a 15% chance of him succeeding

If Lando Norris becomes the 2025 Formula 1 world champion, he will have pulled off a rare, long-shot turnaround. Being 34 points behind with nine races remaining, including this weekend’s Italian Grand Prix, means Norris only has a narrow path to beating McLaren team-mate Oscar Piastri. Norris could draw hope from the most dramatic of late comebacks in this century, but they are exceptions. Two main obstacles are present for Norris: this is a two-horse race, and they are in equal machinery. The maths are in Norris’s favor with nine races, three sprints, and 249 points up for grabs. Plotting a path to victory is quite simple on paper for Norris, but executing it will be challenging given Piastri’s strong performance this year. Norris’s best chances are two routes that both require outside assistance, as McLaren’s improved car makes one-two finishes more likely than not for the team.

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